Showing posts with label Scott Boras Is Not The Prince of Darkness. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Scott Boras Is Not The Prince of Darkness. Show all posts

Monday, June 15, 2009

Sixteen-year-old ballplayer jumps the queue — David Stern's head explodes

One can only assume NBA commissioner David Stern, who so fiercely defends his league's draft age minimum, is going to love hearing what's going on over in baseball.

It seems juicy enough to break the Clavin rule for: Bryce Harper, the 16-year-old phenom from Las Vegas who was the cover story ("Baseball's LeBron") in the June 8 Sports Illustrated, could enter the MLB Draft next year, before his high school class graduates. Scott Boras is his adviser, but you did not have to ask.

The Las Vegas Review-Journal detailed how Harper is going to go to a junior college, obtain his general equivalency diploma (as a lot of teen actors do) and possibly be eligible for the draft in 2010. S.I. said he could have been a top-5 pick this year. Taken a certain way, his father, Ron already sounds a tad defensive: "My son is going to live with us and still eat at the same table. His brother" — a left-handed pitcher who is transferring to the same school, College of Southern Nevada — "will be a mentor to him. Why can't it be a good story?" Perhaps it should be. If Bryce Harper is everything he's cracked up to be, he probably should play vs. 20-year-olds in junior college. He hit .626 this season and with a slugging percentage that could get him into Harvard if you took out the decimal place and passed it off as his SAT score. He's just like Jeremy Tyler, the 17-year-old hoops phenom who's passing on his senior year of high school to play basketball for money overseas.

This fruit tree is probably well picked over. Jason Rosenberg of Vote For Manny fame already covered off the angle that the poor Washington Nationals, once they pay a king's ransom for No. 1 overall draft choice Stephen Strasburg, might have another Boras-represented BPEALSLY (Bestest Prospect Ever, At Least Since Last Year) on their hands. (The Nats are a mortal lock to draft No. 1 overall next season, since they have the same record after 61 games as the infamous 1962 Mets.) Jeff Pearlman noted Harper is being robbed of a childhood and that this is further proof that youth sports are nuttier than a pecan log. This late in the game, it's best to reach for the top branch and use it to whack David Stern for his age minimum, which is blithely called the one-and-done rule.

If Scott Boras can get Bryce Harper into the MLB Draft in 2010 — maybe MLB could stop it, but the rule is you're eligible if you're 16 and have a high school diploma — it makes it harder for Stern to justify his age minimum, AKA the one-and-done rule. How can anyone justify making basketball players wait until they are 19 or 20 to start making money at the game? Please understand that the age minimum has less to do with education and protecting the welfare of basketball players. It's more about preserving college basketball as a free farm system for the NBA, plain and simple.

You are right if your first reaction is to say it is apples-to-pears to compare draft eligibility rules between basketball and baseball. The NBA's premise with the draft is that players should be pretty much ready to roll right off the assembly line (U.S. auto industry pun intended). Baseball, as Tom Verducci explained in his profile of Harper, "is so skill-specific that even the best, most physically mature young players typically must endure several levels of minor league apprenticeship to learn the game."

Out of that, baseball players from Canada and the U.S. have long had an option. They can sign with a MLB organization out of high school or go to college, mature emotionally and physically and still take a stab at baseball in their early 20s. The system has a lot wrong with it, but at least it involves a choice. Boras and the Harpers simply seem to be trying to exercise that option one year sooner, and it's not even clear if they will succeed. He would stand to college a huge bonus if he does sign out of high school (which you would have to figure he would. To recycle a joke that was current when Ken Griffey Jr. became a major league star at age 20, going to high school has knocked a couple years off Harper's pension).

The question becomes, how can you reconcile Bryce Harper, who is white, getting an option when a lot of people are squeamish about Jeremy Tyler, who is black, exercising the same option. Granted, Tyler, like Brandon Jennings did when he went to Europe in 2008 instead of college, is taking a step which involves repudiating the entire U.S. basketball development system. There is great hue and cry over a 17-year-old weighing offers from European teams. Imagine the reaction in Canada if a junior hockey player such as Kingston native Taylor Hall, who some believe could go No. 1 in the NHL draft if he was not too young, announced that he was leaving the OHL's Windsor Spitfires to go play in Russia. People would be royally P.O.'d.

Really, though, what Harper's move in baseball betrays is how badly Stern and the NBA would like to keep things as is. They are partially motivated by the status quo, but really, the NBA would hate to go down baseball's road. The league has enough financial challenges without having to pay to stock minor-league affiliates with players who, let's be honest, are very good but don't have big-league skills.

The farm systems in Major League Baseball are expensive to run. The cost recovery can be be underwhelming, since the organization has to have a lot of marginally talented players under contract so their future superstars have someone to play against. There is also a bit of a battle going on between MLB and its partner, Minor League Baseball, or MiLB, over money. Basically, MLB would like their little brothers to pay full freight when it comes to player costs.

Stern and NBA owners probably want little part of such a player development system in their league. It would cost money. It's better from a business standpoint to have someone playing college basketball, getting on ESPN, instead of playing in front of a couple thousand people in Great Falls, Montana.

It is probably blue sky thinking at its worst, but if the NBA was really so concerned about education, they could simply work collaboratively with all the stakeholders and establish something called the "NBA Scholarship." They would identify players with NBA potential, pay for them to go to school and give them honest feedback about when to enter the draft (I know, too naive by half). There is always the law of unintended consequences, but it might work to weed out agents, the diploma mills, the players getting someone to take their aptitude test for them (as Chicago Bulls star Derrick Rose is accused of doing in order to get into the U of Memphis for his one-and-done year). They could use a carrot-and-stick approach to make sure colleges opted in. The NCAA already takes scholarships away from schools if their basketball team doesn't do well in the classroom, just imagine when a coach is told he can't give a scholarship to a certain player since his team has a 17% graduation rate.

It also might help the NBA with talent identification. The Raptors, for one, have talked about greater collaboration between their franchise, Canada Basketball and Canadian Interuniversity Sport, but league and NCAA rules limit what they can do. How stupid is it that a sports league stands in the way of increasing or improving the talent pool in a country of 33 million people?

This has become a very long post, but people should try to work past tongue-clucking over Bryce Harper and Jeremy Tyler. They should also lose a little of the liberal guilt and stop seeing this solely as black and white ... how come you can't turn pro at 18 in basketball when it's commonplace for mostly middle-class and Caucasian tennis, golf and hockey players?

That works against asking tough questions. It was hilarious when, after it hit the news that about Rose allegedly not taking his SAT broke, you heard people try to blame this on the NBA. That is a total crock, since shenanigans in college basketball go back to the days when there was still a tip-off at centre after every basket. It's just mind-number to see traditional media types towing Stern's party line that "the overwhelming failure rate of America's most promising prospects" is a reason to raise the age minimum. The rub there is that, hey, news flash, there is always going to be some attrition rate with promising young athletes. As a random example, take the first round of the MLB draft back in 1999. Sixteen of the 30 players taken never played a single game in the big leagues, yet no one screamed for reform and the world, remarkably, stayed on its axis.

The rub is that Harper's case shows how the genie is out of the bottle in all the big ball-and-stick leagues. It shows where Stern has gone wrong taking a halfway measure that denies someone the right to get paid somewhat according to his ability. The genie will stay out of the bottle until such time that the big money dries up in sports (which it might, look at what happened to the Romans; sometimes it's as if the WNBA, with its 40-game regular season, requirement that players have a degree).

We should work past the hang-ups and follow the money. That's what Bryce Harper, his family and Scott Boras are doing. They are the honest ones, at the end of the day.

(Meantime, should one be sympathetic to the Washington Nationals' situation, being an unprofitable team which is going to have to pay big for Strasburg and might have to for Harper? A gut feeling is "no." For starters, the Nationals were put in Washington even though it did not deserve a team. Secondly, once upon a time the No. 1 pick rotated between the American and National leagues — AL in odd-numbered years, NL in evens. However, Bud Selig and the boys got greedy and changed it.)

Related:
Harper ready to give college try; 16-year-old Las Vegas High baseball prodigy registers at CSN, plans to attain GED to speed draft eligibility (Matt Youmans, Las Vegas Review-Journal)

Tuesday, June 09, 2009

A Jay a Day: Chad 'Stephen' Jenkins, the difference is pitchability

Hopefully for Chad Jenkins, it's not a bad omen that MLB.com's draft tracker displayed his name incorrectly for several minutes.

The Blue Jays seem to have said "yes" to the several-million-dollar question about going over slot to sign a draft choice; baseball nerds everywhere, rejoice! There was interest in that than who they were actually going to draft. Jenkins, a Roy Halladay-idolizing right-hander from obscure Kennesaw (Ga.) State, was described as a "a cheap option who could rise quickly to the major leagues." However, they used the compensatory pick they got when A.J. Burnett flew the coop to take a Canadian left-handed pitcher, James Paxton.

Paxton's agent is Scott Boras, so yippie-ki-yay, it looks like they're finally going over slot, finally. Expect that A.J. Burnett angle to become a big part of Paxton's backstory.

Anyway, this is about the slotting thingamajig. Former Jays assistant GM Bart Given wrote Monday night at sportsnet.ca wrote that the Jays pretty much had to do it this time around, if not in the first roundt: "After a while, what's the point of playing the game with one hand tied behind you back?"

For the time being, this looks like a win-win. Leave aside that it is is lily-gilding to say Jenkins was seen as a potential 10th overall pick. The Washington Nationals were seemed mostly interested in using that pick on someone who would "agree to a pre-draft slot deal." Meantime, Paxton, who can touch 98 mph and who played for the University of Kentucky with Ottawa native Chris Bisson, the Wildcats' second baseman, ended up falling to the Jays at 37th overall.

There was some more CanCon. The Jays' second-rounder is another Canadian lefty, Jake Eliopoulos from Walkerton, Ontario. (A pitcher from Walkerton? It must be something in the water. What, too soon?) Hell, if you want to localize even farther, the third-rounder, high school righty Jake Barrett, played for Team USA when it won the silver medal at the world junior championship in Edmonton last summer. Barrett, who was on the cover of ESPN Rise, is apparently supposed to be going to Arizona State.

Anyway, ours is not to say how those four pitchers will develop for the Jays. It would be a minor miracle if two of them have a substantial major-league career. Jenkins, for one, is a very intelligent pitcher, with a three-pitch mix. Oddly enough, if you poke around on Google, "three-pitch mix" comes up a fair bit with Barrett and Eliopoulos. They all have pitchability.

In a sense, it seems like the Jays worked around the broken draft system. As Given explained:
"The MLB draft is broken; the lack of enforceable slotting allows the best players to set a bonus price so high, they essentially place themselves with the teams employing the largest budgets. Not surprisingly these teams have commonly been the Red Sox and Yankees, although the Tigers and a couple of others have joined the superpowers in recent years.

"Toronto's organizational policy of not going over slot has effectively reduced the number of players available for director Jon Lalonde's scouting department to draft. If an amateur player's representative set a high price tag, the Blue Jays have placed him on the 'unsignable due to price' board. In recent years, this board has increased in size to contain hundreds of names.

"In a way, it's been commendable that Toronto has been the only team to play by the rules in recent years. But after a while, what's the point of playing the game with one hand tied behind your back?"
That dynamic came into play with Mike Trout, a high school outfielder from New Jersey who is seen as a five-tool player and who was available. Trout, who is said to be demanding a $2.5-million US signing bonus, went appropriately enough 25th overall to the L.A. Angels (by the way, Bud Selig's pronunciation of "Los Angeles Angels" has to be heard to be believed).

Trout, at least according to MLB Network (like the The Tao of Stieb says, can we get this in Canada, please?), provided the feel-good moment of the first round since he was in the TV studio in Secaucus, N.J. However, it's really kind of twisted. You have a plaer who's elated to be taken 25th instead of 17th since the Angels have a bigger budget than clubs which were drafting earlier. Only in Bud Selig's world could that be treated as positive news.

Anyway, it's nice to see one's favourite team in any sport come around. Imagine the fallout if an owner came out and said he would pay his players the lowest salaries in the major leagues. It would be bloody scandalous. The refusal to go over slot is on a smaller scale. It does not get much attention outside of Seamheads. There's enough trouble in Canada getting people to understand that draft choices cannot be traded in baseball. However, people have to understand, it's not about the payroll with the Jays. It's about what they put into player development at the front end, going over slot in the amateur draft and international scouting. They weren't doing that for several years. There's a little glimmer of promise, although it looked shaky there when Chad Jenkins' name was called tonight. It's probably too naive by half to hope playing the Canada card would help in negotiations with Paxton, but one can always dream.

Jenkins seems like he could be a good buy-low. Two writers at Baseball America who did a mock draft saw him ending up with the Jays:
"We have other options for power lefties in this draft though. Two, Andy Oliver and Canada native James Paxton, are attractive at 20 but also have Scott Boras Corp. advising them. ... In the end, Kennesaw State righthander Chad Jenkins is too attractive. Yes, there are college closers we could convert (and we've had success doing it), but why do that when Jenkins is on the board? He has stuff, he has pitchability and he has relatively low mileage on his arm because the Owls were never postseason-eligible while Jenkins was in college. Make it so." (Emphasis mine.)
For those wondering, Kurtenblog did a riff on "pitchability" right before the 2007 World Series.

Mike Wilner said on Jays Talk tonight that Jenkins expected ETA in the majors would be late 2011. Coming from an off-the-beaten-path school such as Kennesaw State, which plays in something called the Atlantic Sun conference, isn't a mark against him. He didn't put a lot of extra miles on his 21-year-old arm by pitching in the post-season, when college coaches run up ginormous pitch counts.

Plus, you have to like that Jenkins described being scouted as "hot and heavy." He must be a Seinfeld fan.

Bottom line, the Jays took three youngsters with pitch, wait for it, ability.

Besides, it was another part of a good sports night. We're getting a Game 7 in the Stanley Cup final. The Orlando Magic ensured the NBA Finals will not be a sweep for Kobe Bryant and the L.A. Lakers. Meantime, at Fenway Park, the Boston Red Sox lit A.J. Burnett up like the Coconut Grove fire in a 7-0 rout.

(Incidentally, someone in the Tampa Bay Rays front office obviously was a big fan of The Band, judging by the given name of their first-rounder, LeVon Washington.)

Saturday, May 16, 2009

More athletes should take pay cuts

A pro athlete's career span is finite, since they have to get what they can while they can, because if you think someone is still going to be playing linebacker in the NFL at age 40, you're sadly mistaken ... or you do play linebacker for the New England Patriots.

One question, though, as a fan, is why you don't see more players take pay cuts, especially in salary cap leagues. Pro Football Talk, via one of the Bay Area beat reporters, reported that San Francisco 49ers linebacker Jeff Ulbrich had his $2.23-million US salary cut to $950,000, a haircut of more than a million dollars.

Sometimes players do take less than market value to re-sign with their old club as a free agent, but it's not often you see this happen in the NFL. Typically, if someone is making too much to fit under the salary cap, he gets cut and someone else is signed, typically to a contract whose dollar value is inflated by the team and the media. The pieces on the chessboard get changed and people watching feel just as removed from the people on the field as they were before, because there's another guy playing the position that was manned by Jeff Ulbrich, although in a sport like football, most fans might not have noticed Jeff Ulbrich.

In the days before free agency when players weren't able to go freely from team to team (which, by the way, helps make franchises more valuable, which is why it's a mug's game to grumble about athletes "with no loyalty"), players were bound to their teams. Salary reductions from one season to next happened fairly regularly. Former Blue Jays manager Jim Fregosi, as a long-in-the-tooth third baseman with the Texas Rangers in 1974 (the year before baseball players won the right to free agency), had his salary cut from $90,000. He told sportswriter Mike Shropshire:
"You have to figure out how to prolong your shelf life. That's the key to longevity in this racket for players like me. Don't get pushy at contract time and wear out your welcome. Baseball players are just like motor oil and toilet paper ... a commodity with a set market price. If more players thought like I do, they'd last longer."
That represents a different school of thought and a sports world where there was much less talent to go around than in 2009. A couple decades before Fregosi, even Hall of Famers such as Robin Roberts (a Roy Halladay-type pitcher with the Philadelphia Phillies, whose 28-win season in 1952 has not been matched by any National League pitcher since) expected a paycut if they had an off-year.

That was also a world with no one on the scale of Scott Boras or Drew Rosenhaus; some teams were still trying to get players to negotiate contracts without an agent.

This is not some lament for a bygone, backwards era. It's a lament for a lack of intellectual honesty. The way it works in the NFL is a player signs a big deal, but the announced dollar figure often includes bogus bonus clauses that will never be achieved, like a quarterback getting $2 million if he participates in 75% of all special teams plays (quarterbacks are never used on special teams, except as the holder on kicking plays). A five-year, $30-million contract might sound impressive when you're reading the sports headlines in the morning on TSN.ca, but it's not a true picture of the player's compensation, or what his value is to the franchise. The player might get cut after a couple seasons and only see a fraction of that original dollar figure.

Meantime, fans get the idea that all 53 players on a NFL team are getting obscenely rich, when in reality, someone such as Jeff Ulbrich is making something much closer to well, about $950,000. Who knows, maybe if fans saw more of this, they wouldn't resent the jocks for making so much money if they saw them feel a financial pinch (instead of sneering 10 years later when you read about the former All-Pro who's broke).

The San Francisco 49ers should get rewarded for their honesty.

Thursday, April 09, 2009

Zen Dayley: Angels pitcher, agent die in crash

Nick Adenhart rates more than a bullet point.

The Los Angeles Angels right-hander died in a hit-and-run collision last night, one of three young people killed by an apparent drunk driver. The others, who are bound to get less attention, were a young woman named Courtney Stewart and a young man named Henry Pearson, who as it turned out is a childhood friend of Matt Clapp from Sharapova's Thigh, who wrote a must-read tribute.

The point is the world of sports is not good at dealing with this, not that it necessarily should since grief and overcoming pain and wrong and death is personal. Running over the franchise's history, which seems to include a disproportionate high number of people connected to the Angels who have died young, does no one any good. It doesn't dilute the troubled waters, doesn't moot the unspeakable, a 22-year-old — a teenager, practicallydead. Scott Boras broke down during the press conference, so keep that in mind next time someone complains about him.

It is senseless to evoke Donnie Moore or Lyman Bostock. It probably means the people who were connected to those earlier events have to relive it, so spare a thought for them.

A ball club, like anything else, constantly evolves, on the field, in the front office, even in the stands. At the end of the day, there's a young man's family, his teammates and the people who believed they had a connection because they knew his height, age and jersey number. It's brutal, although statistically speaking, it happens every day.

Adenhart figured to have an excellent chance at a long and productive career, as did Pearson. No doubt this will become a first point of reference with how L.A.'s season plays out, although that's of secondary concern.

(Of all the things to happen the week you finally read Douglas Coupland's The Gum Thief, where dying young is a big theme.)

Damn, the Jays
  • Ricky Romero was all right, eh? Two earnies across six innings.
  • As you probably heard, Jays GM J.P. Ricciardi is no longer making his regular post-game Wednesday radio appearances with Mike Wilner. One wonders if that was Adam Dunn fallout, some corporate edict from Rogers, although the official word is he just didn't want to do it anymore, like someone else who you're reading right now.

    For the Jays, It's also more expedient if Ricciardi is no longer so visible.

  • Sports figures can have selective memories. The FAN 590's Alan Ashby touched on his memories of his major-league debut during the Tigers-Jays game today, since it was a matchup of two debutantes, Ricky Romero and Rick Porcello (fortunately for the Jays, they got Porcello in his first start, not his 15th, not unlike a game in 2007 when they hit around some skinny San Fran right-hander named Tim Lincecum).

    Ashby said he recalled coming in for defence in a home game and making his first start at Tiger Stadium against a Detroit team that had Al Kaline, Norm Cash and Willie Horton, et al. He didn't mention that his first start came on July 4, 1973, Independence Day in the U.S.

    That's the difference between athletes and the civilian population. You would remember if something momentous in your life came on a major holiday. Alan Ashby's focus, back as a 21-year-old catcher, was calling pitches for Milt Wilcox and Tom Hilgendorf, who checked the Tigers on eight hits in a 5-2 win for the Clevelands.

Sunday, April 05, 2009

Batter up: San Diego Padres

It's almost baseball season, that mystical, wonderful time of year where you commit to a team who you know fully well won't win. This season, in honour of an popular Internet meme, we'll present 25 things about each team. Any wagering or fantasy baseball advice is for recreational use only. At bat: The San Diego Padres.
  1. The Blue Jays are having a reunion of the 1993 championship team in August. The Padres will not have one for all the players who were part of their 1993 fire sale, but it would be appropriate.

  2. Their off-season was marred by a messy and very public divorce, but you already knew they didn't re-sign Trevor Hoffman.

  3. The conversation begins and end with incoming owner Jeff Moorad, whose group is buying the Padres in installments. Previous owner John Moores has to sell the team as part of his divorce proceeding. The San Diegans will be competitive later rather than sooner.

  4. From the department of "good to know," ace Jake Peavy has a no-trade clause. Theories on Peavy's next address are like male nipples; everyone's got them, but they're not good for anything.

  5. Pads chronicler extraordinaire Geoff Young is holding out hope that everything breaks right and his favourite team wins the NL West with an 85-77 record. A lot of crockery will get broken in a certain Jays fan's apartment in that event.

  6. More than one MLB mock draft sees San Diego using its No. 3 pick in the first round on Alex White from the University of North Carolina. He threw eight innings to beat Georgia Tech on Friday. Does anyone know how any of UNC's other teams made out this weekend?

  7. First baseman Adrian Gonzalez just needs a little more publicity to officially be overrated for being underrated.

  8. One feel-good San Diego baseball story is that the play-by-play voice Mark Neely, who landed the gig after calling minor-league games for 19 seasons. He must have some stories.

  9. Kevin Kouzmanoff is the best Padres player not named Gonzo.

  10. You can win drinks and impress people at cocktain parties if you know that Brian Giles' is career on-base percentage is among the top 50 in baseball history (he's 50th at .404).

    Giles deserves to get booed in every ballpark he visits after a videotape surfaced of him appearing to assault his girlfriend in a bar.

  11. Giles' no-trade clause doesn't include Cleveland, which is one AL contender which could use a lefty-swinging outfielder/DH type.

  12. Six-word epitaph for their season: "David Eckstein is on the team."

  13. Heath Bell The Closer should be fine, save for not having Heath Bell The Setup Man. Justin Hampson is the only left-handed option in the bullpen.

  14. Their PECOTA projection is for a 74-88 record, which would improve on the 63-99 record they posted last season.

  15. There's not much at the top of the farm system. However, Scott Boras really likes the program Padres icon Tony Gwynn is running as the coach at San Diego State. Since agents already do some of the recruiting in college basketball, couldn't the Dark Lord start steering 18-year-old phenoms to Gwynn's program and giving the Padres a familiarity factor come draft day?

    OK, so that's a stretch.
  16. You really had to be there to understand why Cleveland was the only who threw an extra player into the Kouzmanoff-for-Josh Barfield trade in December 2006. It was probably some karmic rebate for the Padres trading away Carlos Baerga and Sandy Alomar Jr.'s entire careers for one season of Joe Carter posting a .290 on-base percentage (but with a ton of RBIs).

  17. Bill James did a famous riff on this once: Present-day San Diego skipper Bud Black, who is white, played for many years on the Royals with Frank White, who is black.

  18. You have to click through to Minor League Ball's look at the Padres' top 20 prospects, not so much for the article, but for the 1970s Randy Jones baseball card that shows him pitching without a cap. That could have only happened in the '70s.

  19. You probably never heard of Cha Seung Baek, but Ducksnorts is confident he "will be the worst No. 3 starter in the majors." It might only be for a few weeks.

  20. Players don't have roommates on the road, so Cha probably doesn't share a room with Cla Meredith.

  21. Again, minor-league first basemen are a dime-a-dozen, but get a load of Kyle Blanks, who's 6-foot-6 and tips the Toledos at 281 lbs. He on-based .4o4 and slugged .514 as a 21-year-old in Double-A ball last season, but he might be too damn mammoth to last in baseball.

  22. "Bud Black" and "first manager fired" gets only 255 matches on Google at this writing. Granted, he doesn't have a whole lot to work with.

  23. The entire major-league schedule will be aired on XM Radio. I tend to be nocturnal, so get ready to hear a lot of random facts about West Coast teams over the next six months.

  24. The Padres name predates the major-league franchise. It was first used for a Pacific Coast League team. You could have a lineup with Hall of Famer at every position from players who played for either iteration:
    Tony Gwynn CF
    Bobby Doerr 2B
    Ted Williams LF
    Dave Winfield RF
    Willie McCovey DH
    Gary Sheffield 3B
    Mike Piazza C
    Tony Perez 1B
    Ozzie Smith SS
    Roberto Alomar Util.
    Gaylord Perry SP
    Rollie Fingers RP
  25. The recession is not 100% bad (only 98% bad). The Padres' Triple-A team, the Portland Beavers, increased its season-ticket base by 10 per cent. It must be a good place to play, since judging by his spring training, Matt Antonelli really wanted to play there again.

    Portland should get a MLB team someday.

Thursday, April 02, 2009

Batter up: Washington Nationals

It's that mystical, wonderful time of year where you commit to a baseball team who you know fully well won't win. This season, in honour of an popular Internet meme, we'll present 25 things about each team. At bat: The Washington Nationals.
  1. The Nationals owners actually paid their rent on time, automatically making this the best season in team history.

  2. There were no limits to what John Lennon could imagine, but there are limits to what Nats fans can imagine when John Lannan is the Opening Day starter. Lannan is the only holdover from last season's starting rotation.

  3. It might take a $50-million commitment for the Nationals to get Scott Boras to deliver pitching phenom Stephen Strasburg (pictured), whom everyone has known would be going No. 1 overall since about last July. The Nats' pursuit of Mark Teixeira last winter might as well have been a foot-in-the-door technique with the Dark Lord. Strasburg will sign, but the cost is going to be pro-hib-i-tive.

  4. The Lerner family, which owns the Nats, makes its money in real estate, so squash any thought of a big free agent signing in Washington any time soon.

  5. The Nationals are having trouble selling out their Opening Day game. A pig with lipstick on it is still a pig, in the parlance of our time.

  6. Rookies Shairon Martis and Jordan Zimmerman might as well open the season in the starting rotation. Remember, this is Washington, where the unofficial motto, "What's the worst that can happen?"

  7. The team's PECOTA projection is for a 77-85 record, a huge improvement from 59-102 in 2008. A team almost has to try to lose 102 games, so some evenout is to be expected. Their over/under is 71½ wins, so you might be able to cash in.

  8. The Nationals are the Juno Awards of baseball teams, so far gone that they're spoof-proof. Joking that Adam Dunn signed with the Nats because he doesn't like baseball that much, just like almost everyone who lives in Washington is instantly stale, like Russell Peters promising to skewer Nickelback.

  9. A lineup which includes has shortstop Cristian Guzmán setting the table for hitters such as Dunn, Ryan Zimmerman and Elijah Dukes, not to mention Josh Willingham as one of the approximately 11 outfielders on the Opening Day roster, should be able to score some runs, hence the mild optimism.

  10. Josh Towers' failure to make the Nationals is a good burn on the people who run the Syracuse Chiefs. They decided to pair up with Washington after 32 seasons with Toronto because they were tired of the Blue Jays giving them lousy players and they end up getting Josh Towers.

    If only there was an opinionated Jays fan who is relocating to Syracuse and could heckle Towers later this summer. If only.

  11. Austin Kearns hit .217/.311/.316 last season, meaning he'll probably be the the odd outfielder out in Washington. Those kind of stats, when combined with scrappy grit, would make him a first-ballot inductee into the Reed Johnson Hall of Fame, which is slated to be built in a particularly rundown section of Brantford, Ontario.

  12. Dunn could join Babe Ruth, Alex Rodriguez and Sammy Sosa as the only players to have six 40-home run seasons in a row. That's like the story about the time a little old lady gave Stormin' Gorman Thomas a ball to sign that already had the signatures of several baseball immortals: "There's no telling what that ball was worth before I signed it."

  13. Short synopsis of Jim Bowden being forced out as general manager: It couldn't have happened to a nicer guy.

  14. Former Expo Randy St. Claire is the pitching coach, while Marquis Grissom is also on the coaching staff. Both could play on the Bobby Hebert All-Stars, American pro athletes with French names.

  15. 2007 first-round pick Ross Detwiler was 35th in The Baseball Prospectus Top 100 Prospects in 2008. This year he's 81st.

  16. Nationals Park will soon be graced by white bronze sculptures of D.C. baseball greats Josh Gibson, Walter Johnson and Frank Howard. The Howard sculpture might be some time in the outfield as a late-inning defensive replacement for Adam Dunn.

  17. People who only have interest in crazy or obscure wagers should see what the lines are for who will be the Nationals' all-star representative. Dunn or Guzmán, who's a .300 hitter, are good bets, but the darkhorse would be closer Joel Hanrahan. He'll get his fair share of save opportunities and taking a reliever off a bad team allows more flexibility with filling out the rest of the lineup. You heard it here first (and if you Hanrahan has a 13.50 ERA at the end of April, you didn't hear it here at all).

  18. Former Nationals closer Chad Cordero was great when they somehow went 81-81 in 2005. Now he's probably available for about the same price as a house in Detroit. That's not meant to be mean, it's a metaphor for where the U.S. has gone in four years.

  19. First baseman Nick Johnson's Baseball Prospectus 2009 entry reads: "Like the crystal egg in Risky Business, the leg lamp from A Christmas Story, the tablets in The Ten Commandments or wind in a Kevin Smith movie, Nick Johnson always gets broken ... it's appropriate that Johnson came up as a Yankee — he's the Ron Blomberg of the goyim."

  20. As if it's not hard to forget the Bush era, the Nationals have an infielder named Alberto Gonzalez in their farm system.

  21. Kind of lame April Fools Day joke that almost worked: Having Dmitri Young on the roster has forced the Nationals to petition for a move to the American League. Johnson, Young, Dunn and Dukes give the Nats four DH types.

  22. No one needs another reminder that Andre Dawson and Tim Raines both should be in the Baseball Hall of Fame, right?

  23. The Baseball Prospectus 2009 chapter on manager Manny Acta actually puts him in the same sentence with Casey Stengel. Acta's .409 winning percentage in his first two seasons is about on par with how Stengel fared when he was managing the Boston Bees and Brooklyn Dodgers in the 1930s and '40s.

  24. Despite all the new outfielders coming in, Willie Harris, is still on the roster, which is a welcome sight. For about 24 hours last summer Harris, who wears a double-flap batting helmet like some journeyman fourth outfielder left over from the late 1980s, actually had more home runs than any Blue Jays hitter. He also has his fun side when he tries to play second base:
    "There was a pop hit by Detroit's first batter of the sixth. It was just beyond the second base bag. Cristian Guzman yielded ground to Harris... and as the ball plunged toward Harris's mitt, you could hear the crowd at Space Coast murmur.

    "Ohhhhhhh....

    "Harris snagged the pop.

    "The stadium roared.

    "He gripped his glove with his right hand, as if holding a treasure, and then pumped his fist into the air.

    "The applause continued.

    "Harris took a bow.

    "There won't be a funnier P-4 all year."
  25. Five years is almost enough time to let bygones be bygones in terms of the Expos being bogarted. On second thought, nahhhhhhhhhhhhhh.

    There's still somefibre of one's being that hopes to wake up one morning in September and see the Nats sporting a 7-138 record.